The cost of the tiptop-ranked cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Bitcoin (BTC), is set to explode in the coming week providing the weekly candle opens above $9,200. This would signal the end of a 46-week descending channel that BTC/USD has been locked in since information technology nearly tapped $fourteen,000 in the summertime of 2022.

So is this the time to expect a new all-time high from the leading digital nugget?

Daily crypto market performance

Daily crypto market performance. Source: Coin360.com

The weekly view

BTC USD weekly chart

BTC USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView

At the fourth dimension of writing, the price of Bitcoin is currently trading over $9,500. It virtually seems inevitable that closing above $9,200 is a certain thing. But at that place are no definite results when it comes to Bitcoin.

All the same, with renewed postal service-halving retail interest it certainly does expect likely, especially since Harry Potter author J.Thou. Rowling recently tweeting to her 14.6 million followers request for someone to explain Bitcoin to her. This may certainly spark renewed public involvement in BTC. Though, if crypto Twitter didn't blow it by acting like baboons with cringeworthy replies that no one found funny, the chances of this would be higher.

Resistance flips to support

BTC USD daily chart

BTC USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Moving over to the daily Bitcoin nautical chart, and we tin meet that the previous resistance on the descending channel has now flipped to support, and using the Fibonacci retracement tool, it provides a piffling glimpse of where Bitcoin could get next.

The toll is currently sitting only under .618, making the adjacent immediate moves either being to the upside around $11,600 (.786) or to the downside around $eight,790.

While a motion to the downside is ever a possibility, if that happens in the week ahead, it would mean that the back up on both the daily and weekly has failed, which would not be good for Bitcoin.

However, each week that support gets lower inside the channel. So while I'm generally bullish on Bitcoin at the moment, I don't think a breakthrough of $10K again would concur for long — not until we beginning seeing a new path emerge on the charts.

Daily MACD shows signs of a reversal

BTC USD daily MACD chart

BTC USD daily MACD chart Source: TradingView

While the charts mostly expect bullish on higher fourth dimension frames, some indicators on lower time frames are starting to show signs of weakness. The moving average convergence deviation (MACD) indicator, recently saw a bearish cross, and despite nearly crossing bullish a few days later, information technology has since resumed a downwards trajectory.

Given that the weekly MACD is still looking very bullish, I wouldn't be too worried about this in the medium term. However, in the curt term, it looks every bit if a small pullback is imminent as people rush to accept pre-10K level profits, which I would view as a temporary pullback.

The Relative Strength Index

The Relative Strength Index

The RSI is looking as bearish on the daily chart as it's approaching overbought territory. Yet, you accept to keep in mind that during 2022 the RSI was constantly showing equally overbought and it just kept going.

That being said, if you look at the weekly chart, we're not even in that location yet, which suggests that while a small pullback is probable, overall it's looking practiced for the toll of Bitcoin in the medium term.

The Relative Strength Index

Mining difficulty reduction

BTC Mining Difficulty Adjustment

BTC Mining Difficulty Aligning Source: BTC.com

Another fundamental metric that has proved useful in assessing the future price of Bitcoin is the Bitcoin mining difficulty, which at the moment is starting to decline and is set up to be reduced past over 2% next calendar week.

Nevertheless, with the halving now backside u.s., more than adjustments to the downside are to be expected since mining is currently no longer profitable. All the same despite this, at that place has been a surge in hash rate, topping out an boilerplate of 115 EH/s, which is an all-fourth dimension high for BTC. That'southward 115 quintillion (115,000,000,000,000,000,000) hashes per second.

Historically, when the hash charge per unit is rising, the price always follows, and every bit this number continues to explode, it seems only likely that Bitcoins price will follow suit.

Bullish scenario

Endmost above $9,200 today volition be the single most bullish sign that Bitcoin has seen since before the 2022 bull run. This would put $nine,980 as the next level of resistance earlier opening up $eleven,600 as the side by side target.

Bearish scenario

Non managing to hold above $ix,200 would put $8,790 as the outset level of support followed by $7,600. Yet, at this stage, a bearish outlook for Bitcoin is but non something I see every bit likely. Even if the price fell to $viii,790, I would even so maintain a bullish bias. Withal, losing this level would drastically reduce the likelihood of an imminent balderdash run.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of @officiallykeith and do non necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves chance. You should conduct your ain enquiry when making a determination.